With one week until the 2010 midterm elections, The Red & Black presents the first edition of The Red & Black Senate and Governor Projections.

The projections are based on the race rankings from four political websites: The New York Times, RealClearPolitics, Cook Political Report, and CQ Politics, as well as polling numbers from the various races.

“Safe” races are those that are highly likely to go to one party, and “leaning” races are expected to go to one party, but the other party certainly has a chance on election day.

“Tossup” races could go to either party, but one party is expected to have a slight lead in “tilting” races. Tossup races that are “too close to call” are exactly that.

These rankings will be updated twice before election day, Nov. 2.

— Compiled by Robbie Ottley

Senate Race Projections:
Democratic, no election: 40

Safe Democratic: 8
Oregon, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New York (Incumbent: Schumer), New York (Incumbent: Gillibrand), Connecticut, Vermont

Leaning Democratic: 0

Tossup, tilting Democratic: 2
Washington, California

Tossup, too close to call: 3
Colorado, Illinois, West Virginia

Tossup, tilting Republican: 2
Pennsylvania, Nevada

Leaning Republican: 3
Kentucky, Wisconsin, Alaska

Safe Republican: 19
Idaho, Utah, Arizona, North Dakota, South Dakota, Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Indiana, Ohio, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, New Hampshire

Republican, no election: 23

New Senate Projection:
Democrats: 50
Republicans: 50

Governor Race Projections:
Democratic, no election: 7

Safe Democratic: 3
New Hampshire, New York, Arkansas

Leaning Democratic: 7
California, Colorado, Minnesota, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Hawaii

Tossup, tilting Democratic: 0

Tossup, too close to call: 4
Oregon, Florida, Rhode Island, Vermont

Tossup, tilting Republican: 2
Illinois, Maine

Leaning Republican: 5
Wisconsin, Ohio, Texas, Georgia, South Carolina

Safe Republican: 16
Nevada, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, Wyoming, New Mexico, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa, Michigan, Tennessee, Alabama, Pennsylvania, Alaska

Republican, no election: 6

New Governors Projections:
Democrats: 20
Republicans: 29